Today sees the announcement of this year's batch of Mercury Music Prize nominations and speculation is rampant as to who will make the prestigious list. Elbow, last year's winners, enjoyed a fantastic end to 2008 and continued success thus far in 2009 on the back of picking up the prestigious gong and speculation is rampant as to who will pick up the Mercury 'rub' this year. The selection criteria specifies that in order for an album to qualify for the prize it must have an Irish/UK release date which falls within 15th July 2008 and 13th July 2009. Albums of any genre are eligible.

But what do we think will be on the list? The following is unabashed speculation.

The Certainties:

Bat For Lashes - Two Suns
Florence and The Machine - Lungs
Glasvegas - Glasvegas
Friendly Fires - Friendly Fires
Little Boots - Hands

The Probables:

Doves - Kingdom of Rust
Micachu and The Shapes - Jewellery
La Roux - La Roux
White Lies - To Lose My Life
The Horrors - Primary Colours

The Possibles:

The Bug - London Zoo
Morrissey - Years of Refusal
Lily Allen - It's Not Me, It's You
The Invisible - The Invisible
Camera Obscura - My Maudlin Career

The Irish Contingent:

Lisa Hannigan - Sea Sew
Fight Like Apes - Fight Like Apes and the Mystery of the Golden Medallion
Snow Patrol - A Hundred Million Suns

The We Hope Nots:

Pete Doherty - Grace/Wastelands
Oasis - Dig Out Your Soul
Travis - Ode To J. Smith
Metronomy - Nights Out
Kasabian - West Ryder Pauper Lunatic Asylum

Please don't quote us on any of that! We'll have the official list of nominees as soon as they're announced, so check back to see how accurate our guesswork is.